| St. Louis County vs. Minnesota Comparative Trends Analysis: Total Employment Growth and Change, 1969-2022 Introduction St. Louis County: 2022 Jobs = 122,185 2022 Percent of State = 3.18% Minnesota: 2022 Jobs = 3,844,786 2022 Percent of U.S. = 1.81% Employment numbers remain the most popular and frequently cited statistics used for tracking local area economic conditions and trends. The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) employment estimates reported measure the number of full- and part-time wage and salary employees, plus the number of proprietors of unincorporated businesses. People holding more than one job are counted in the employment estimates for each job they hold. This means BEA employment estimates represent a job count, not a people count. Also, BEA employment is by place-of-work, rather than by place-of-residence. Jobs held by neighboring county residents who commute to St. Louis County to work are included in the employment count for St. Louis County. Data Definition: The BEA employment series for states and local areas comprises estimates of the number of jobs, full-time plus part-time, by place of work. Full-time and part-time jobs are counted at equal weight. Employees, sole proprietors, and active partners are included, but unpaid family workers and volunteers are not included. Proprietors employment consists of the number of sole proprietorships and the number of partners in partnerships. The description "by place of work" applies to the wage and salary portion of the series and, with relatively little error, to the entire series. The proprietors employment portion of the series, however, is more nearly by place of residence because, for nonfarm sole proprietorships, the estimates are based on IRS tax data that reflect the address from which the proprietor's individual tax return is filed, which is usually the proprietor's residence. The nonfarm partnership portion of the proprietors employment series reflects the tax-filing address of the partnership, which may be either the residence of one of the partners or the business address of the partnership. The employment estimates are designed to be consistent with the estimates of wages and salaries and proprietors' income that are part of the personal income series. The employment estimates are based on the same sets of source data as the corresponding earnings estimates and are prepared with parallel methodologies. Two forms of proprietors' income-the income of limited partnerships and the income of tax-exempt cooperatives-have no corresponding employment estimates. Figure 1. Figure 1 traces St. Louis County's annual total employment for the period 1969-2022 to illustrate total employment patterns over time. During this 54-year period, St. Louis County's total employment rose from 89,183 in 1969 to 122,185 in 2022, for a net gain of 33,002, or 37.00%. Figure 2. Figure 2 traces Minnesota's annual total employment for the period 1969-2022 to illustrate total employment patterns over time. During this 54-year period, Minnesota's total employment rose from 1,690,875 in 1969 to 3,844,786 in 2022, for a net gain of 2,153,911, or 127.38%. Figure 3. Another interesting and insightful way of contrasting the total employment growth of St. Louis County is to trace its individual percentage contributions to Minnesota's statewide total employment over time, as shown in Figure 3. A rising share means a region's total employment grew faster, or declined less, than Minnesota's total employment, while a declining share shows it grew more slowly. In 1969, St. Louis County's total employment totaled 5.27% of Minnesota's total employment, while in 2022 it comprised 3.18% thereby yielding a -2.10% share-shift. | | | | Total Employment Share-Shift 2022 vs. 1969 | Share- Shift* | | 2022 | vs. | 1969 | | -2.10% | = | 3.18% | - | 5.27% |
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Figure 4. Figure 4 shows the short-run pattern of St. Louis County's total employment growth by tracking the year-to-year percent change over 1970-2022. The average annual percent change for the entire 53-year period is also illustrated on this chart to provide a benchmark for gauging periods of relative high--and relative low--growth against the backdrop of the long-term average. On average, St. Louis County's total employment grew at an annual rate of 0.63% over 1970-2022. The county posted its highest growth in 1978 (4.59%) and recorded its lowest growth in 1982 (-9.09%). In 2022, St. Louis County's total employment grew by 2.59% Figure 5. Over the past five decades some counties have experienced extreme swings in growth, and often such swings have tended to coincide with the decades themselves. Figure 5 again illustrates the annual percent change in St. Louis County's total employment since 1970, but this time they are overlayed with average growth rates for the decade of the 1970s, 1980s, 1990s, 2000s, 2010s, and 2020-2022. During the 1970s, St. Louis County's annual total employment growth rate averaged 1.70%. It averaged -0.50% during the 1980s, 1.69% throughout the 1990s, 0.13% during the 2000s, 0.46% throughout the 2010s, -0.51% thus far this decade (2020-2022). Figure 6. To highlight trends in a local job ratio relative to nationwide trends, Figure 6 tracks St. Louis County's, Minnesota's job ratio as a percent of the national job ratio over 1969-2022. Tip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data. | | | | St. Louis County: Total Employment, 1969-2022 | | | | | | | | | 1969 | | 89,183 | 100.0 | N | 5.27 | 0.40 | 87.87 | 1970 | | 90,238 | 101.2 | 1.18 | 5.31 | 0.41 | 91.18 | 1971 | | 90,697 | 101.7 | 0.51 | 5.32 | 0.41 | 92.21 | 1972 | | 91,484 | 102.6 | 0.87 | 5.14 | 0.42 | 92.15 | 1973 | | 93,884 | 105.3 | 2.62 | 5.00 | 0.43 | 92.52 | 1974 | | 95,409 | 107.0 | 1.62 | 4.97 | 0.44 | 94.25 | 1975 | | 98,234 | 110.1 | 2.96 | 5.12 | 0.45 | 98.70 | 1976 | | 101,664 | 114.0 | 3.49 | 5.14 | 0.46 | 98.73 | 1977 | | 98,749 | 110.7 | -2.87 | 4.86 | 0.45 | 93.62 | 1978 | | 103,284 | 115.8 | 4.59 | 4.87 | 0.47 | 94.93 | 1979 | | 105,318 | 118.1 | 1.97 | 4.75 | 0.48 | 94.62 | 1980 | | 103,767 | 116.4 | -1.47 | 4.62 | 0.47 | 93.22 | 1981 | | 101,779 | 114.1 | -1.92 | 4.56 | 0.46 | 92.33 | 1982 | | 92,531 | 103.8 | -9.09 | 4.22 | 0.43 | 86.29 | 1983 | | 88,476 | 99.2 | -4.38 | 3.99 | 0.42 | 84.01 | 1984 | | 90,513 | 101.5 | 2.30 | 3.89 | 0.43 | 84.98 | 1985 | | 91,025 | 102.1 | 0.57 | 3.82 | 0.45 | 85.66 | 1986 | | 91,864 | 103.0 | 0.92 | 3.80 | 0.46 | 87.00 | 1987 | | 93,637 | 105.0 | 1.93 | 3.73 | 0.47 | 88.21 | 1988 | | 96,161 | 107.8 | 2.70 | 3.73 | 0.49 | 89.33 | 1989 | | 99,447 | 111.5 | 3.42 | 3.78 | 0.50 | 91.28 | 1990 | | 101,217 | 113.5 | 1.78 | 3.76 | 0.51 | 91.96 | 1991 | | 103,743 | 116.3 | 2.50 | 3.82 | 0.52 | 95.52 | 1992 | | 105,186 | 117.9 | 1.39 | 3.81 | 0.52 | 97.29 | 1993 | | 104,918 | 117.6 | -0.25 | 3.72 | 0.52 | 96.58 | 1994 | | 107,237 | 120.2 | 2.21 | 3.69 | 0.53 | 97.52 | 1995 | | 110,257 | 123.6 | 2.82 | 3.68 | 0.56 | 99.94 | 1996 | | 112,918 | 126.6 | 2.41 | 3.69 | 0.57 | 101.28 | 1997 | | 114,364 | 128.2 | 1.28 | 3.68 | 0.57 | 101.06 | 1998 | | 116,131 | 130.2 | 1.55 | 3.64 | 0.58 | 101.50 | 1999 | | 117,598 | 131.9 | 1.26 | 3.61 | 0.59 | 101.49 | 2000 | | 119,474 | 134.0 | 1.60 | 3.59 | 0.60 | 101.61 | 2001 | | 117,914 | 132.2 | -1.31 | 3.52 | 0.59 | 100.84 | 2002 | | 118,334 | 132.7 | 0.36 | 3.55 | 0.59 | 102.81 | 2003 | | 117,707 | 132.0 | -0.53 | 3.52 | 0.59 | 102.86 | 2004 | | 118,565 | 132.9 | 0.73 | 3.50 | 0.59 | 103.17 | 2005 | | 119,864 | 134.4 | 1.10 | 3.48 | 0.60 | 103.57 | 2006 | | 121,579 | 136.3 | 1.43 | 3.48 | 0.61 | 103.99 | 2007 | | 123,352 | 138.3 | 1.46 | 3.48 | 0.62 | 104.05 | 2008 | | 123,282 | 138.2 | -0.06 | 3.50 | 0.62 | 104.73 | 2009 | | 118,952 | 133.4 | -3.51 | 3.47 | 0.59 | 104.97 | 2010 | | 118,740 | 133.1 | -0.18 | 3.48 | 0.59 | 106.14 | 2011 | | 119,633 | 134.1 | 0.75 | 3.45 | 0.60 | 105.60 | 2012 | | 119,632 | 134.1 | 0.00 | 3.41 | 0.60 | 104.67 | 2013 | | 121,407 | 136.1 | 1.48 | 3.41 | 0.60 | 104.94 | 2014 | | 122,557 | 137.4 | 0.95 | 3.40 | 0.61 | 104.35 | 2015 | | 123,570 | 138.6 | 0.83 | 3.37 | 0.61 | 103.87 | 2016 | | 123,508 | 138.5 | -0.05 | 3.34 | 0.61 | 103.07 | 2017 | | 124,716 | 139.8 | 0.98 | 3.34 | 0.62 | 103.22 | 2018 | | 124,958 | 140.1 | 0.19 | 3.31 | 0.62 | 101.94 | 2019 | | 124,486 | 139.6 | -0.38 | 3.29 | 0.62 | 101.65 | 2020 | | 115,816 | 129.9 | -6.96 | 3.21 | 0.58 | 98.27 | 2021 | | 119,096 | 133.5 | 2.83 | 3.21 | 0.60 | 97.84 | 2022 | | 122,185 | 137.0 | 2.59 | 3.18 | 0.61 | 96.07 |
Source: Calculations by the Minnesota Regional Economic Analysis Project (MN-REAP) with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis November 2023 REAP_PI_CA1400_1000_PSN | | | | |
Tip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data. | | | | Minnesota: Total Employment, 1969-2022 | | | | | | | | | 1969 | | 1,690,875 | 100.0 | N | 1.86 | 0.45 | 99.47 | 1970 | | 1,698,995 | 100.5 | 0.48 | 1.86 | 0.45 | 99.43 | 1971 | | 1,706,080 | 100.9 | 0.42 | 1.86 | 0.44 | 100.02 | 1972 | | 1,780,093 | 105.3 | 4.34 | 1.89 | 0.46 | 102.15 | 1973 | | 1,877,806 | 111.1 | 5.49 | 1.91 | 0.48 | 103.78 | 1974 | | 1,921,458 | 113.6 | 2.32 | 1.92 | 0.49 | 105.03 | 1975 | | 1,920,410 | 113.6 | -0.05 | 1.94 | 0.49 | 106.57 | 1976 | | 1,976,597 | 116.9 | 2.93 | 1.95 | 0.50 | 106.98 | 1977 | | 2,033,789 | 120.3 | 2.89 | 1.94 | 0.51 | 106.91 | 1978 | | 2,121,891 | 125.5 | 4.33 | 1.93 | 0.53 | 107.29 | 1979 | | 2,217,688 | 131.2 | 4.51 | 1.96 | 0.55 | 109.00 | 1980 | | 2,248,180 | 133.0 | 1.37 | 1.97 | 0.55 | 109.71 | 1981 | | 2,232,802 | 132.1 | -0.68 | 1.94 | 0.54 | 108.44 | 1982 | | 2,192,337 | 129.7 | -1.81 | 1.92 | 0.53 | 107.68 | 1983 | | 2,219,348 | 131.3 | 1.23 | 1.92 | 0.54 | 108.34 | 1984 | | 2,324,144 | 137.5 | 4.72 | 1.93 | 0.56 | 109.37 | 1985 | | 2,385,204 | 141.1 | 2.63 | 1.93 | 0.57 | 109.55 | 1986 | | 2,417,493 | 143.0 | 1.35 | 1.92 | 0.57 | 109.36 | 1987 | | 2,509,308 | 148.4 | 3.80 | 1.94 | 0.59 | 110.81 | 1988 | | 2,580,304 | 152.6 | 2.83 | 1.93 | 0.60 | 109.95 | 1989 | | 2,633,745 | 155.8 | 2.07 | 1.93 | 0.61 | 110.04 | 1990 | | 2,691,896 | 159.2 | 2.21 | 1.95 | 0.61 | 110.66 | 1991 | | 2,717,271 | 160.7 | 0.94 | 1.97 | 0.61 | 112.49 | 1992 | | 2,762,016 | 163.3 | 1.65 | 2.00 | 0.61 | 114.06 | 1993 | | 2,816,645 | 166.6 | 1.98 | 2.00 | 0.62 | 114.15 | 1994 | | 2,903,666 | 171.7 | 3.09 | 2.01 | 0.63 | 114.93 | 1995 | | 2,994,740 | 177.1 | 3.14 | 2.02 | 0.64 | 115.69 | 1996 | | 3,056,007 | 180.7 | 2.05 | 2.02 | 0.65 | 115.64 | 1997 | | 3,109,004 | 183.9 | 1.73 | 2.01 | 0.65 | 115.15 | 1998 | | 3,189,396 | 188.6 | 2.59 | 2.01 | 0.66 | 115.33 | 1999 | | 3,256,931 | 192.6 | 2.12 | 2.02 | 0.67 | 115.45 | 2000 | | 3,330,936 | 197.0 | 2.27 | 2.01 | 0.68 | 115.20 | 2001 | | 3,347,326 | 198.0 | 0.49 | 2.02 | 0.67 | 115.66 | 2002 | | 3,337,728 | 197.4 | -0.29 | 2.02 | 0.67 | 115.86 | 2003 | | 3,347,012 | 197.9 | 0.28 | 2.02 | 0.66 | 115.80 | 2004 | | 3,390,375 | 200.5 | 1.30 | 2.01 | 0.67 | 115.57 | 2005 | | 3,448,129 | 203.9 | 1.70 | 2.00 | 0.67 | 115.49 | 2006 | | 3,495,694 | 206.7 | 1.38 | 1.99 | 0.68 | 114.86 | 2007 | | 3,540,345 | 209.4 | 1.28 | 1.97 | 0.68 | 114.07 | 2008 | | 3,526,233 | 208.5 | -0.40 | 1.97 | 0.67 | 114.03 | 2009 | | 3,424,125 | 202.5 | -2.90 | 1.97 | 0.65 | 114.55 | 2010 | | 3,408,488 | 201.6 | -0.46 | 1.97 | 0.64 | 114.81 | 2011 | | 3,468,973 | 205.2 | 1.77 | 1.97 | 0.65 | 114.77 | 2012 | | 3,505,288 | 207.3 | 1.05 | 1.96 | 0.65 | 114.25 | 2013 | | 3,555,540 | 210.3 | 1.43 | 1.95 | 0.65 | 113.74 | 2014 | | 3,603,670 | 213.1 | 1.35 | 1.93 | 0.66 | 112.87 | 2015 | | 3,662,633 | 216.6 | 1.64 | 1.92 | 0.66 | 112.41 | 2016 | | 3,697,854 | 218.7 | 0.96 | 1.91 | 0.67 | 111.61 | 2017 | | 3,735,638 | 220.9 | 1.02 | 1.90 | 0.67 | 110.84 | 2018 | | 3,776,940 | 223.4 | 1.11 | 1.89 | 0.67 | 109.65 | 2019 | | 3,782,809 | 223.7 | 0.16 | 1.88 | 0.67 | 108.94 | 2020 | | 3,607,496 | 213.4 | -4.63 | 1.85 | 0.63 | 107.25 | 2021 | | 3,711,807 | 219.5 | 2.89 | 1.83 | 0.65 | 106.43 | 2022 | | 3,844,786 | 227.4 | 3.58 | 1.81 | 0.67 | 105.50 |
Source: Calculations by the Minnesota Regional Economic Analysis Project (MN-REAP) with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis November 2023 REAP_PI_CA1400_1000_PSN | | | | |
Tip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data. | | | | United States: Total Employment, 1969-2022 | | | | | | | 1969 | | 91,053,200 | 100.0 | N | 0.45 | 1970 | | 91,277,600 | 100.2 | 0.25 | 0.45 | 1971 | | 91,581,400 | 100.6 | 0.33 | 0.44 | 1972 | | 94,312,200 | 103.6 | 2.98 | 0.45 | 1973 | | 98,427,500 | 108.1 | 4.36 | 0.47 | 1974 | | 100,111,800 | 109.9 | 1.71 | 0.47 | 1975 | | 98,900,600 | 108.6 | -1.21 | 0.46 | 1976 | | 101,591,200 | 111.6 | 2.72 | 0.47 | 1977 | | 105,042,200 | 115.4 | 3.40 | 0.48 | 1978 | | 109,686,600 | 120.5 | 4.42 | 0.49 | 1979 | | 113,147,100 | 124.3 | 3.15 | 0.50 | 1980 | | 113,983,200 | 125.2 | 0.74 | 0.50 | 1981 | | 114,914,000 | 126.2 | 0.82 | 0.50 | 1982 | | 114,163,300 | 125.4 | -0.65 | 0.49 | 1983 | | 115,645,700 | 127.0 | 1.30 | 0.49 | 1984 | | 120,528,100 | 132.4 | 4.22 | 0.51 | 1985 | | 123,796,700 | 136.0 | 2.71 | 0.52 | 1986 | | 126,232,300 | 138.6 | 1.97 | 0.53 | 1987 | | 129,548,400 | 142.3 | 2.63 | 0.53 | 1988 | | 133,563,900 | 146.7 | 3.10 | 0.55 | 1989 | | 136,177,800 | 149.6 | 1.96 | 0.55 | 1990 | | 138,330,900 | 151.9 | 1.58 | 0.55 | 1991 | | 137,612,800 | 151.1 | -0.52 | 0.54 | 1992 | | 138,166,100 | 151.7 | 0.40 | 0.54 | 1993 | | 140,774,400 | 154.6 | 1.89 | 0.54 | 1994 | | 144,196,600 | 158.4 | 2.43 | 0.55 | 1995 | | 147,915,800 | 162.4 | 2.58 | 0.56 | 1996 | | 151,056,200 | 165.9 | 2.12 | 0.56 | 1997 | | 154,541,200 | 169.7 | 2.31 | 0.57 | 1998 | | 158,481,200 | 174.1 | 2.55 | 0.57 | 1999 | | 161,531,300 | 177.4 | 1.92 | 0.58 | 2000 | | 165,370,800 | 181.6 | 2.38 | 0.59 | 2001 | | 165,522,200 | 181.8 | 0.09 | 0.58 | 2002 | | 165,095,100 | 181.3 | -0.26 | 0.57 | 2003 | | 165,921,500 | 182.2 | 0.50 | 0.57 | 2004 | | 168,839,700 | 185.4 | 1.76 | 0.58 | 2005 | | 172,338,400 | 189.3 | 2.07 | 0.58 | 2006 | | 175,868,600 | 193.1 | 2.05 | 0.59 | 2007 | | 179,543,700 | 197.2 | 2.09 | 0.60 | 2008 | | 179,213,900 | 196.8 | -0.18 | 0.59 | 2009 | | 173,636,700 | 190.7 | -3.11 | 0.57 | 2010 | | 172,901,700 | 189.9 | -0.42 | 0.56 | 2011 | | 176,091,700 | 193.4 | 1.84 | 0.56 | 2012 | | 178,979,700 | 196.6 | 1.64 | 0.57 | 2013 | | 182,328,100 | 200.2 | 1.87 | 0.58 | 2014 | | 186,239,800 | 204.5 | 2.15 | 0.58 | 2015 | | 190,325,800 | 209.0 | 2.19 | 0.59 | 2016 | | 193,425,900 | 212.4 | 1.63 | 0.60 | 2017 | | 196,394,100 | 215.7 | 1.53 | 0.60 | 2018 | | 200,292,200 | 220.0 | 1.98 | 0.61 | 2019 | | 201,635,200 | 221.4 | 0.67 | 0.61 | 2020 | | 195,286,600 | 214.5 | -3.15 | 0.59 | 2021 | | 202,752,100 | 222.7 | 3.82 | 0.61 | 2022 | | 212,442,000 | 233.3 | 4.78 | 0.64 |
Source: Calculations by the Minnesota Regional Economic Analysis Project (MN-REAP) with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis November 2023 REAP_PI_CA1400_1000_PN | | | | |
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