Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Accommodation and Food Services Earnings Growth
Across Minnesota Counties
Real* Accommodation and Food Services
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Accommodation and Food Services
Earnings Growth
Minnesota:
2010-2022 = 6.06%
2022 = 11.41%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of real accommodation and food services earnings growth across all of Minnesota's 87 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Minnesota Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the real accommodation and food services earnings growth of Minnesota's 87 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Real* Accommodation and Food Services
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Accommodation and Food Services
Earnings Growth
Minnesota:
2010-2022 = 6.06%
2022 = 11.41%
This figure displays the 87 counties of Minnesota as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual real accommodation and food services earnings growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the real accommodation and food services earnings growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term real accommodation and food services earnings growth exceeded the statewide average of 6.06%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 6.06% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual real accommodation and food services earnings growth rate trailed the statewide average (6.06%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 37 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 30 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 12 counties whose most recent (2022) real accommodation and food services earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (11.41%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 55 counties whose real accommodation and food services earnings growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 87 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 6.06% over 2010-2022 and 11.41% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real accommodation and food services earnings growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (6.06%) and near-term (11.41%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real accommodation and food services earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (6.06%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Minnesota average (11.41%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real accommodation and food services earnings growth rate fell below the statewide average (6.06%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (11.41%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real accommodation and food services earnings growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (6.06%) and near-term (11.41%).
   
 
Summary of Minnesota's 87 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(11.41%)
Above
(11.41%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(6.06%)
31
6
37
Below
(6.06%)
24
6
30
 
55
12
67
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
Minnesota:
2010-2022 = 6.06%
2022 = 11.41%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Minnesota counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Minnesota's average annual real accommodation and food services earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 6.06%) as well as near-term (2022 = 11.41%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real accommodation and food services earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Minnesota's 87 counties, just 6 (7%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
Minnesota:
2010-2022 = 6.06%
2022 = 11.41%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 31 Minnesota counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real accommodation and food services earnings growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = 6.06%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = 11.41%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual real accommodation and food services earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Observe that 31 (36%) of Minnesota's 87 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
Minnesota:
2010-2022 = 6.06%
2022 = 11.41%
This figure shows the distribution of the 6 Minnesota counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real accommodation and food services earnings growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = 6.06%), while they outpaced Minnesota's average near-term (2022 = 11.41%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual real accommodation and food services earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Minnesota's 87 counties, only 7% (6) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
Minnesota:
2010-2022 = 6.06%
2022 = 11.41%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 24 Minnesota counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual real accommodation and food services earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 6.06%) as well as near-term (2022 = 11.41%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real accommodation and food services earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
28% of Minnesota's counties, 24 of 87, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
Minnesota
Real* Accommodation and Food Services Earnings Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
36
6.12
 
15
11.41
501,565
 
30
6.46
 
14
11.91
10,224
 
20
7.01
 
12
12.44
324,769
 
23
6.89
 
4
19.76
143,089
 
3
9.20
 
11
13.36
69,450
 
13
7.47
 
1
27.39
52,605
Slipping Counties
 
21
6.94
 
47
4.98
13,686
 
32
6.37
 
20
10.51
316,691
 
15
7.31
 
72
-5.48
38,169
 
9
7.80
 
41
6.17
54,814
 
18
7.14
 
42
5.94
100,674
 
5
8.69
 
44
5.70
110,782
 
16
7.22
 
51
4.00
37,136
 
27
6.54
 
24
9.77
34,627
 
19
7.13
 
26
9.58
143,885
 
35
6.15
 
34
7.08
58,394
 
6
8.09
 
70
-2.04
12,612
 
31
6.39
 
28
9.02
47,964
 
2
9.40
 
45
5.66
934
 
12
7.51
 
65
0.53
25,208
 
1
10.34
 
53
3.91
7,529
 
10
7.74
 
69
-1.68
61,642
 
22
6.89
 
37
6.86
17,481
 
29
6.48
 
68
-0.82
9,992
 
26
6.62
 
23
10.05
29,890
 
7
7.88
 
46
5.38
10,836
 
4
8.99
 
67
-0.52
25,503
 
24
6.77
 
30
8.25
290,235
 
33
6.36
 
43
5.77
47,193
 
37
6.06
 
57
2.73
12,542
 
25
6.64
 
54
3.60
25,137
 
14
7.37
 
32
7.79
7,924
 
8
7.86
 
16
11.24
61,409
 
17
7.15
 
27
9.45
9,391
 
34
6.17
 
49
4.33
8,849
 
11
7.66
 
18
10.87
317,934
 
28
6.53
 
31
7.95
119,953
Gaining Counties
 
38
6.05
 
3
23.65
31,577
 
60
4.73
 
7
15.97
49,568
 
45
5.73
 
8
14.25
2,589,187
 
52
5.37
 
13
12.01
5,092
 
43
5.81
 
9
14.07
813,180
 
67
0.94
 
6
18.27
2,382
Lagging Counties
 
58
5.04
 
39
6.27
25,795
 
47
5.50
 
35
7.05
24,307
 
40
5.99
 
25
9.59
61,127
 
59
4.87
 
66
-0.23
7,426
 
53
5.34
 
56
2.74
5,929
 
49
5.41
 
33
7.09
26,070
 
44
5.74
 
79
-24.36
5,607
 
39
5.99
 
60
2.47
18,985
 
62
4.44
 
62
1.92
36,332
 
42
5.86
 
55
3.36
15,179
 
55
5.23
 
58
2.72
24,078
 
46
5.62
 
29
8.59
17,066
 
57
5.21
 
36
6.98
21,818
 
65
3.14
 
59
2.49
24,698
 
56
5.22
 
61
1.98
20,000
 
66
2.98
 
50
4.01
21,762
 
61
4.54
 
63
1.53
7,172
 
63
4.37
 
19
10.57
3,327
 
50
5.41
 
52
3.99
4,376
 
51
5.39
 
21
10.40
176,824
 
54
5.28
 
40
6.17
35,199
 
64
3.48
 
17
11.02
7,163
 
41
5.99
 
48
4.60
12,485
 
48
5.50
 
64
1.04
7,979
Undefined/Suppressed Counties
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
2
25.94
6,738
 
U
U
 
74
-6.77
977
 
U
U
 
77
-16.00
1,649
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
23,376
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
75
-8.04
1,669
 
U
U
 
38
6.73
3,316
 
U
U
 
73
-6.65
14,148
 
U
U
 
78
-20.62
1,024
 
U
U
 
71
-3.04
6,002
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
3,231
 
U
U
 
5
18.97
15,773
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
22
10.21
8,617
 
U
U
 
76
-12.76
4,183
 
U
U
 
10
13.38
4,872
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
6.06
 
11.41
7,369,669
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
6.45
 
7.78
536,234,000
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1600N_611800_LSGL
 
   
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