Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Military Earnings Growth
Across Minnesota Counties
Real* Military
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Military
Earnings Growth
Minnesota:
2010-2022 = -0.54%
2022 = 0.43%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of real military earnings growth across all of Minnesota's 87 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Minnesota Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the real military earnings growth of Minnesota's 87 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Real* Military
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Military
Earnings Growth
Minnesota:
2010-2022 = -0.54%
2022 = 0.43%
This figure displays the 87 counties of Minnesota as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual real military earnings growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the real military earnings growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term real military earnings growth exceeded the statewide average of -0.54%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at -0.54% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual real military earnings growth rate trailed the statewide average (-0.54%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 23 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 64 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 70 counties whose most recent (2022) real military earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (0.43%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 17 counties whose real military earnings growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 87 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of -0.54% over 2010-2022 and 0.43% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real military earnings growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (-0.54%) and near-term (0.43%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real military earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (-0.54%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Minnesota average (0.43%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real military earnings growth rate fell below the statewide average (-0.54%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (0.43%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real military earnings growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (-0.54%) and near-term (0.43%).
   
 
Summary of Minnesota's 87 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(0.43%)
Above
(0.43%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(-0.54%)
3
20
23
Below
(-0.54%)
14
50
64
 
17
70
87
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
Minnesota:
2010-2022 = -0.54%
2022 = 0.43%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Minnesota counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Minnesota's average annual real military earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = -0.54%) as well as near-term (2022 = 0.43%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real military earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Minnesota's 87 counties, 20 (23%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
Minnesota:
2010-2022 = -0.54%
2022 = 0.43%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 3 Minnesota counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real military earnings growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = -0.54%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = 0.43%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual real military earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Only 3 (3%) of Minnesota's 87 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
Minnesota:
2010-2022 = -0.54%
2022 = 0.43%
This figure shows the distribution of the 50 Minnesota counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real military earnings growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = -0.54%), while they outpaced Minnesota's average near-term (2022 = 0.43%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual real military earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Minnesota's 87 counties, 57% (50) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
Minnesota:
2010-2022 = -0.54%
2022 = 0.43%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 14 Minnesota counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual real military earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = -0.54%) as well as near-term (2022 = 0.43%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real military earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
16% of Minnesota's counties, 14 of 87, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
Minnesota
Real* Military Earnings Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
15
-0.06
 
11
3.48
48,047
 
21
-0.43
 
44
1.48
4,460
 
16
-0.27
 
6
5.71
6,001
 
8
0.39
 
21
2.51
13,945
 
19
-0.39
 
12
3.45
3,955
 
22
-0.44
 
30
2.05
7,207
 
14
-0.04
 
67
0.59
8,028
 
18
-0.37
 
18
2.70
723
 
13
-0.04
 
13
3.20
58,100
 
20
-0.41
 
25
2.33
4,966
 
5
0.60
 
1
9.48
5,913
 
10
0.01
 
2
8.43
1,557
 
17
-0.36
 
3
8.05
3,462
 
7
0.45
 
5
6.80
22,346
 
4
0.64
 
9
3.91
40,699
 
6
0.46
 
10
3.71
19,971
 
12
-0.04
 
17
2.75
12,571
 
11
-0.03
 
8
4.71
21,619
 
9
0.38
 
7
4.96
35,937
 
3
0.72
 
4
7.37
19,823
Slipping Counties
 
1
1.90
 
86
-9.07
10,418
 
2
1.46
 
87
-15.40
9,186
 
23
-0.48
 
85
-4.59
70,646
Gaining Counties
 
56
-1.15
 
19
2.59
2,018
 
25
-0.56
 
50
1.28
5,207
 
74
-1.43
 
56
1.13
627
 
54
-1.12
 
62
0.86
3,154
 
39
-0.88
 
38
1.67
4,384
 
62
-1.22
 
69
0.46
1,519
 
50
-1.08
 
24
2.34
1,094
 
29
-0.69
 
43
1.48
2,667
 
71
-1.38
 
45
1.44
1,760
 
43
-0.93
 
31
1.94
2,685
 
72
-1.38
 
59
1.07
3,863
 
27
-0.64
 
20
2.57
6,114
 
42
-0.93
 
64
0.78
772
 
60
-1.20
 
51
1.28
2,370
 
24
-0.56
 
22
2.44
2,772
 
51
-1.09
 
36
1.73
5,649
 
48
-1.03
 
14
3.09
2,066
 
37
-0.83
 
48
1.33
5,472
 
87
-4.01
 
27
2.29
491
 
31
-0.71
 
28
2.19
3,687
 
75
-1.47
 
35
1.74
700
 
52
-1.11
 
57
1.12
4,609
 
49
-1.05
 
34
1.80
2,947
 
30
-0.71
 
16
2.85
3,433
 
36
-0.80
 
68
0.51
4,310
 
40
-0.89
 
54
1.18
5,044
 
35
-0.78
 
46
1.40
3,977
 
41
-0.93
 
61
0.96
2,740
 
28
-0.68
 
32
1.88
7,573
 
53
-1.11
 
40
1.52
1,732
 
45
-1.00
 
15
2.91
3,607
 
63
-1.25
 
47
1.38
1,177
 
64
-1.26
 
60
1.05
3,767
 
33
-0.76
 
39
1.62
1,445
 
69
-1.36
 
55
1.16
1,926
 
83
-1.72
 
66
0.61
1,818
 
26
-0.62
 
37
1.70
7,704
 
70
-1.37
 
41
1.52
1,933
 
61
-1.20
 
42
1.51
1,877
 
44
-0.93
 
49
1.31
4,715
 
46
-1.00
 
70
0.44
1,143
 
66
-1.28
 
58
1.10
1,198
 
38
-0.86
 
23
2.35
3,222
 
84
-1.80
 
52
1.24
407
 
55
-1.14
 
29
2.09
2,730
 
32
-0.74
 
26
2.29
1,784
 
47
-1.03
 
63
0.84
2,294
 
59
-1.17
 
65
0.72
1,395
 
34
-0.78
 
53
1.20
6,236
 
81
-1.69
 
33
1.87
1,197
Lagging Counties
 
68
-1.34
 
81
-0.70
1,410
 
67
-1.31
 
83
-3.12
194,766
 
73
-1.40
 
74
0.16
1,249
 
86
-1.99
 
82
-1.36
506
 
85
-1.91
 
84
-3.89
1,484
 
82
-1.72
 
80
-0.47
839
 
57
-1.15
 
77
0.00
671
 
79
-1.62
 
75
0.09
1,124
 
76
-1.51
 
76
0.08
2,472
 
80
-1.67
 
71
0.39
1,021
 
77
-1.55
 
73
0.38
803
 
78
-1.59
 
79
-0.20
491
 
58
-1.16
 
78
-0.08
1,188
 
65
-1.27
 
72
0.38
800
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
-0.54
 
0.43
785,415
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
0.97
 
0.54
157,200,000
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1600N_620200_LSGL
 
   
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